Completed
The winning outcome:
NO
Will the euro surge by early March?
Volume~$110
YES chance
DescriptionThe euro could surge by early March due to simultaneous pressure on the ruble. The main driver will be the expected cut in the Russian Central Bank’s key rate amid slowing inflation, which makes ruble-denominated assets less profitable and reduces demand for the national currency. This factor, compounded by a possible decline in oil prices—a key source of Russia’s export revenue—could lead to a significant weakening of the ruble and a sharp rise in the euro exchange rate in the short term.
Conditions"Yes: if, between March 1 and 5, 2026, the euro exchange rate was ≥ ₽ 100 at least once
No: if, between March 1 and 5, 2026, the euro exchange rate was < ₽ 100"
Timeline
OpenedFeb 9, 2026, 10:00 AM
Closes
Feb 25, 2026, 3:00 PMChecking results
—EndsMar 8, 2026, 2:59 AM
OpenedFeb 9, 2026, 10:00 AM
Closes
Feb 25, 2026, 3:00 PMChecking results
—EndsMar 8, 2026, 2:59 AM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
#
User
Vol.
1
MMTrader
MMTrader23 BPCX
2
buba
buba14 BPCX
3
FirmGang
FirmGang10 BPCX
4
BlitheWits
BlitheWits8 BPCX
Voted for NO
#
User
Vol.
1
MotileGiro
MotileGiro25 BPCX
2
ConicMalraux
ConicMalraux13 BPCX
3
NastyAeolis
NastyAeolis10 BPCX
4
joS_edge
joS_edge7 BPCX
Completed
The winning outcome:
NO
Will the euro surge by early March?
Volume~$110
DescriptionThe euro could surge by early March due to simultaneous pressure on the ruble. The main driver will be the expected cut in the Russian Central Bank’s key rate amid slowing inflation, which makes ruble-denominated assets less profitable and reduces demand for the national currency. This factor, compounded by a possible decline in oil prices—a key source of Russia’s export revenue—could lead to a significant weakening of the ruble and a sharp rise in the euro exchange rate in the short term.
Event resultsView all
MotileGiro
boughtNoon a 25 BPCX
ConicMalraux
boughtNoon a 13 BPCX
NastyAeolis
boughtNoon a 10 BPCX
joS_edge
boughtNoon a 7 BPCX