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China's Ministry of State Security to announce blocking of Taiwan's new spy site in June 2026?
Volume~$0
YES chance
100 BPCX
100 BPCX
DescriptionIn mid-June 2026, Taiwan's National Security Bureau launched a secure website aimed at collecting intelligence information from mainland Chinese residents. The resource's home page even features an AI video calling on Chinese officials to "change." Official Beijing firmly suppresses any attempts at external espionage and fully controls the domestic Internet with the help of the Golden Shield system. The betting will be on whether China's Ministry of State Security (MSS) or a Beijing official will issue a statement to block, cyberattack or blacklist this Taiwanese resource by the end of June.
ConditionsYes: if, between June 22 and June 30, 2026, China's Ministry of State Security, the Taiwan Affairs Office, or leading state media (Xinhua, Renmin Zhibao, TASS) officially announce blocking, technical suppression, or criminal prosecution for visiting a new Taiwanese website.No: if there is no official public response from PRC agencies regarding blocking or shutting down access to that particular resource before June 30, 2026, inclusive.
Timeline
OpenedJun 15, 2026, 7:32 AM
Closes
Jun 21, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsJul 1, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedJun 15, 2026, 7:32 AM
Closes
Jun 21, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsJul 1, 2026, 8:59 PM
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Active
China's Ministry of State Security to announce blocking of Taiwan's new spy site in June 2026?
Volume~$0
DescriptionIn mid-June 2026, Taiwan's National Security Bureau launched a secure website aimed at collecting intelligence information from mainland Chinese residents. The resource's home page even features an AI video calling on Chinese officials to "change." Official Beijing firmly suppresses any attempts at external espionage and fully controls the domestic Internet with the help of the Golden Shield system. The betting will be on whether China's Ministry of State Security (MSS) or a Beijing official will issue a statement to block, cyberattack or blacklist this Taiwanese resource by the end of June.
ConditionsYes: if, between June 22 and June 30, 2026, China's Ministry of State Security, the Taiwan Affairs Office, or leading state media (Xinhua, Renmin Zhibao, TASS) officially announce blocking, technical suppression, or criminal prosecution for visiting a new Taiwanese website.No: if there is no official public response from PRC agencies regarding blocking or shutting down access to that particular resource before June 30, 2026, inclusive.