Completed
The winning outcome:
NO
Will there be a major traffic accident on March 8 that causes traffic disruptions on the Moscow Ring Road or the Third Transport Ring?
Volume~$16
YES chance
DescriptionThe holiday rush and challenging weather conditions (forecast wet snow) increase the risk of serious accidents on Moscow’s expressways. For this report, a “major accident” is defined as an incident involving more than three vehicles or a traffic accident that has prompted an official announcement by the Department of Transportation regarding a full or partial closure of traffic (more than two lanes) on the Moscow Ring Road (MKAD), the Third Transport Ring (TTK), or the Garden Ring. The bet is based on the presence of such official confirmation on the Telegram channel “Deptrans. Operatively.”
Conditions"Yes: if a traffic accident occurs in Moscow on March 8, 2026, resulting in an official traffic closure on the Moscow Ring Road (MKAD), the Third Transport Ring (TTK), or the Garden Ring (as confirmed by reports from the Department of Transportation).
No: if, on March 8, 2026, there are no official reports of traffic closures on the specified highways due to a traffic accident."
Timeline
OpenedFeb 26, 2026, 4:46 PM
Closes
Mar 4, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsMar 9, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedFeb 26, 2026, 4:46 PM
Closes
Mar 4, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsMar 9, 2026, 8:59 PM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
#
User
Vol.
1
MotileGiro
MotileGiro15 BPCX
Voted for NO
#
User
Vol.
1
LargoDewey
LargoDewey1 BPCX
Event resultsView all
LargoDewey
boughtNoon a 1 BPCX
Completed
The winning outcome:
NO
Will there be a major traffic accident on March 8 that causes traffic disruptions on the Moscow Ring Road or the Third Transport Ring?
Volume~$16
DescriptionThe holiday rush and challenging weather conditions (forecast wet snow) increase the risk of serious accidents on Moscow’s expressways. For this report, a “major accident” is defined as an incident involving more than three vehicles or a traffic accident that has prompted an official announcement by the Department of Transportation regarding a full or partial closure of traffic (more than two lanes) on the Moscow Ring Road (MKAD), the Third Transport Ring (TTK), or the Garden Ring. The bet is based on the presence of such official confirmation on the Telegram channel “Deptrans. Operatively.”
Conditions"Yes: if a traffic accident occurs in Moscow on March 8, 2026, resulting in an official traffic closure on the Moscow Ring Road (MKAD), the Third Transport Ring (TTK), or the Garden Ring (as confirmed by reports from the Department of Transportation).
No: if, on March 8, 2026, there are no official reports of traffic closures on the specified highways due to a traffic accident."
Event resultsView all
LargoDewey
boughtNoon a 1 BPCX