Active
Will Roscosmos approve the Mars mission plan by the end of 2026?
Volume~$207
YES chance
100 BPCX
100 BPCX
DescriptionOleg Kononenko’s view on a 50-year planning horizon confirms the long-term ambitions of the Russian space program. However, to carry out such a mission, it will be necessary to develop the “Zeus” nuclear tug and heavy launch vehicles. In 2026, the Federal Space Program is expected to be revised, and the stages of not only lunar but also Martian expansion may be officially established. The question is whether an approved schedule or “roadmap” for preparing a crewed flight to Mars will appear in Roscosmos’ official documents by the end of the year.
ConditionsYes: if, by December 31, 2026 (inclusive), Roscosmos officially publishes a document (a strategy or an addendum to the Federal Space Program) setting out specific timelines or phases for the preparation of a crewed mission to Mars.No: if, by the end of 2026, plans for Mars remain at the level of expert assessments and interviews with cosmonauts without being formally incorporated into the program.
Timeline
OpenedApr 8, 2026, 6:14 PM
Closes
Aug 31, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsJan 4, 2027, 8:59 PM
OpenedApr 8, 2026, 6:14 PM
Closes
Aug 31, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsJan 4, 2027, 8:59 PM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
#
User
Vol.
1
FirmGang
FirmGang29 BPCX
2
heySI1
heySI126 BPCX
3
wEEd
wEEd18 BPCX
4
buba
buba17 BPCX
5
ShrillManipur
ShrillManipur10 BPCX
Voted for NO
#
User
Vol.
1
BlitheWits
BlitheWits27 BPCX
2
MMTrader
MMTrader19 BPCX
3
111
11116 BPCX
4
joS_edge
joS_edge11 BPCX
5
MotileGiro
MotileGiro11 BPCX
Active
Will Roscosmos approve the Mars mission plan by the end of 2026?
Volume~$207
DescriptionOleg Kononenko’s view on a 50-year planning horizon confirms the long-term ambitions of the Russian space program. However, to carry out such a mission, it will be necessary to develop the “Zeus” nuclear tug and heavy launch vehicles. In 2026, the Federal Space Program is expected to be revised, and the stages of not only lunar but also Martian expansion may be officially established. The question is whether an approved schedule or “roadmap” for preparing a crewed flight to Mars will appear in Roscosmos’ official documents by the end of the year.
ConditionsYes: if, by December 31, 2026 (inclusive), Roscosmos officially publishes a document (a strategy or an addendum to the Federal Space Program) setting out specific timelines or phases for the preparation of a crewed mission to Mars.No: if, by the end of 2026, plans for Mars remain at the level of expert assessments and interviews with cosmonauts without being formally incorporated into the program.