Completed
The winning outcome:
NO
Will nickel skyrocket to $19,500?
Volume~$56
YES chance
DescriptionBy the end of February, the price of nickel had stabilized at $17,840. The main driver of growth in March 2026 could be a delay in the issuance of mining licenses in Indonesia, which has already begun to create a local supply shortage. At the same time, data on March raw material purchases by electric vehicle manufacturers in China may exceed forecasts. If these two factors coincide, prices could make a strong surge toward the psychological threshold of $19,500. A rise of approximately 9% from current levels would signal the end of the prolonged downtrend in the non-ferrous metals sector.
Conditions"Yes: if, between March 10 and March 25, 2026, the price per metric ton of nickel (Nickel) reaches ≥ $19,500 at least once
No: if, during the period from March 10 to March 25, 2026, the price per metric ton of nickel (Nickel) is < $19,500"
Timeline
OpenedFeb 27, 2026, 12:40 PM
Closes
Mar 7, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsMar 26, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedFeb 27, 2026, 12:40 PM
Closes
Mar 7, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsMar 26, 2026, 8:59 PM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
#
User
Vol.
1
5kkkkkkusdt
5kkkkkkusdt16 BPCX
2
BlitheWits
BlitheWits12 BPCX
Voted for NO
#
User
Vol.
1
MMTrader
MMTrader15 BPCX
2
FirmGang
FirmGang12 BPCX
3
heySI1
heySI11 BPCX
Completed
The winning outcome:
NO
Will nickel skyrocket to $19,500?
Volume~$56
DescriptionBy the end of February, the price of nickel had stabilized at $17,840. The main driver of growth in March 2026 could be a delay in the issuance of mining licenses in Indonesia, which has already begun to create a local supply shortage. At the same time, data on March raw material purchases by electric vehicle manufacturers in China may exceed forecasts. If these two factors coincide, prices could make a strong surge toward the psychological threshold of $19,500. A rise of approximately 9% from current levels would signal the end of the prolonged downtrend in the non-ferrous metals sector.
Event resultsView all
MMTrader
boughtNoon a 15 BPCX
FirmGang
boughtNoon a 12 BPCX
heySI1
boughtNoon a 1 BPCX