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Will the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) raise the interest rate above 4.35% at its August meeting?
Volume~$37
YES chance
100 BPCX
100 BPCX
DescriptionConsumer inflation in Australia remained high at 4.0%. The next official monetary policy meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is scheduled for August 10–11, 2026. Experts expect a heated debate, as core inflation exceeds the regulator’s target range. The focus is on whether the central bank will raise borrowing costs.
ConditionsYes: if, at its meeting on August 11, 2026, the RBA raises the Cash Rate Target to 4.50% or higher. No: if the rate remains at 4.35% or is lowered.
Timeline
OpenedJun 28, 2026, 10:32 AM
Closes
Aug 3, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsAug 12, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedJun 28, 2026, 10:32 AM
Closes
Aug 3, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsAug 12, 2026, 8:59 PM
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Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
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wEEd
wEEd20 BPCX
Voted for NO
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1
ton_explore
ton_explore17 BPCX
Active
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) raise the interest rate above 4.35% at its August meeting?
Volume~$37
DescriptionConsumer inflation in Australia remained high at 4.0%. The next official monetary policy meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is scheduled for August 10–11, 2026. Experts expect a heated debate, as core inflation exceeds the regulator’s target range. The focus is on whether the central bank will raise borrowing costs.