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Completed
The winning outcome:
YES

Will it be "warm" (above +4°C) in Murino on March 20?

Volume~$11
Climate
YES chance
DescriptionMarch 20 is the spring equinox, a day that in the Leningrad Region is often marked by “gray skies.” According to Gismeteo, an Atlantic cyclone is expected to bring moist air masses to the region during this period in 2026. For Murino, daytime temperatures reaching +5°C or higher at this time of year are considered a climatic milestone and mark the beginning of the actual thaw. The question is whether the thermometer will be able to cross this threshold, recording the first truly spring-like positive temperature.
Conditions"Yes: if the maximum daytime temperature in Murino on March 20, 2026, is ≥ +5°C No: if the maximum daytime temperature in Murino on March 20, 2026, is ≤ +4°C"
Timeline
OpenedFeb 27, 2026, 12:18 PM
Closes
Mar 10, 2026, 8:59 PM
Checking results
EndsMar 21, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedFeb 27, 2026, 12:18 PM
Closes
Mar 10, 2026, 8:59 PM
Checking results
EndsMar 21, 2026, 8:59 PM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
#
User
Vol.
1
NastyAeolis
NastyAeolis
4 BPCX
2
111
111
1 BPCX
Voted for NO
#
User
Vol.
1
FirmGang
FirmGang
5 BPCX
2
LargoDewey
LargoDewey
1 BPCX
Event resultsView all
NastyAeolis+8.08 BPCX
boughtYeson a 4 BPCX
111+2.02 BPCX
boughtYeson a 1 BPCX
Completed
The winning outcome:
YES

Will it be "warm" (above +4°C) in Murino on March 20?

Volume~$11
Climate
DescriptionMarch 20 is the spring equinox, a day that in the Leningrad Region is often marked by “gray skies.” According to Gismeteo, an Atlantic cyclone is expected to bring moist air masses to the region during this period in 2026. For Murino, daytime temperatures reaching +5°C or higher at this time of year are considered a climatic milestone and mark the beginning of the actual thaw. The question is whether the thermometer will be able to cross this threshold, recording the first truly spring-like positive temperature.
Conditions"Yes: if the maximum daytime temperature in Murino on March 20, 2026, is ≥ +5°C No: if the maximum daytime temperature in Murino on March 20, 2026, is ≤ +4°C"
Event resultsView all
NastyAeolis+8.08 BPCX
boughtYeson a 4 BPCX
111+2.02 BPCX
boughtYeson a 1 BPCX