Completed
The winning outcome:
YES
Will Trump provoke the Iranian government by the end of March?
Volume~$29
YES chance
DescriptionDonald Trump is known for his unpredictable rhetoric: in one interview, he declares his willingness to negotiate, and in the next, he may make harsh remarks about his opponents. In an interview with The Atlantic, he has already mentioned that the Iranian leadership has behaved “too cunningly” and “waited too long.” If no progress is made in the dialogue by the end of March 2026, Trump may resume publicly insulting them on social media or at rallies, using his trademark epithets. The question is whether the global media will report on direct public insults (the use of derogatory nicknames or accusations of weakness or stupidity) directed at Iranian officials.
ConditionsYes: if, between March 1 and March 31, 2026, Donald Trump publicly (on social media, in interviews, or during a speech) makes offensive or derogatory remarks about Iran’s leadership.
No: if, by the end of March 2026, Trump maintains a diplomatic tone or refrains from direct personal insults.
Timeline
OpenedMar 1, 2026, 4:53 PM
Closes
Mar 7, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsApr 1, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedMar 1, 2026, 4:53 PM
Closes
Mar 7, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsApr 1, 2026, 8:59 PM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
#
User
Vol.
1
joS_edge
joS_edge11 BPCX
2
MotileGiro
MotileGiro3 BPCX
3
LargoDewey
LargoDewey1 BPCX
Voted for NO
#
User
Vol.
1
ton_explore
ton_explore12 BPCX
2
wEEd
wEEd2 BPCX
Event resultsView all
joS_edge
boughtYeson a 11 BPCX
MotileGiro
boughtYeson a 3 BPCX
LargoDewey
boughtYeson a 1 BPCX
Completed
The winning outcome:
YES
Will Trump provoke the Iranian government by the end of March?
Volume~$29
DescriptionDonald Trump is known for his unpredictable rhetoric: in one interview, he declares his willingness to negotiate, and in the next, he may make harsh remarks about his opponents. In an interview with The Atlantic, he has already mentioned that the Iranian leadership has behaved “too cunningly” and “waited too long.” If no progress is made in the dialogue by the end of March 2026, Trump may resume publicly insulting them on social media or at rallies, using his trademark epithets. The question is whether the global media will report on direct public insults (the use of derogatory nicknames or accusations of weakness or stupidity) directed at Iranian officials.
ConditionsYes: if, between March 1 and March 31, 2026, Donald Trump publicly (on social media, in interviews, or during a speech) makes offensive or derogatory remarks about Iran’s leadership.
No: if, by the end of March 2026, Trump maintains a diplomatic tone or refrains from direct personal insults.
Event resultsView all
joS_edge
boughtYeson a 11 BPCX
MotileGiro
boughtYeson a 3 BPCX
LargoDewey
boughtYeson a 1 BPCX