Active
Will the first confirmed exoplanet be announced by the end of 2026?
Volume~$173
YES chance
100 BPCX
100 BPCX
DescriptionAstronomers already suspect the existence of extragalactic planets—objects located beyond the Milky Way. Some candidates have been identified using the Chandra telescope and other observatories, but there is no official confirmation of their status as planets yet. Confirmation will require direct observations or repeatable transits recorded by reputable scientific institutions.
ConditionsThe answer will be "Yes" if, by December 31, 2026, NASA, ESA, or other recognized scientific organizations officially announce confirmation of the existence of the first extragalactic planet.
The answer will be "No" if no such confirmation is made by that date.
Timeline
OpenedOct 30, 2025, 3:39 PM
Closes
Dec 31, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsDec 31, 2026, 9:00 PM
OpenedOct 30, 2025, 3:39 PM
Closes
Dec 31, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsDec 31, 2026, 9:00 PM
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Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
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Vol.
1
BlitheWits
BlitheWits28 BPCX
2
FirmGang
FirmGang26 BPCX
3
wEEd
wEEd26 BPCX
4
ConicMalraux
ConicMalraux17 BPCX
5
buba
buba16 BPCX
Voted for NO
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User
Vol.
1
NastyAeolis
NastyAeolis16 BPCX
2
ShrillManipur
ShrillManipur12 BPCX
3
MMTrader
MMTrader8 BPCX
4
MotileGiro
MotileGiro7 BPCX
5
InsaneHammock
InsaneHammock4 BPCX
Active
Will the first confirmed exoplanet be announced by the end of 2026?
Volume~$173
DescriptionAstronomers already suspect the existence of extragalactic planets—objects located beyond the Milky Way. Some candidates have been identified using the Chandra telescope and other observatories, but there is no official confirmation of their status as planets yet. Confirmation will require direct observations or repeatable transits recorded by reputable scientific institutions.