Active
Will the perpetual dollar futures contract (USDRUBF) break through the 79-ruble mark by July 31?
Volume~$69
YES chance
100 BPCX
100 BPCX
DescriptionThe Russian currency is showing a steady decline in the over-the-counter market, where the dollar exchange rate has broken through the psychological barrier of 76 rubles for the first time in two months. Following this trend, the perpetual U.S. dollar futures contract (USDRUBF) traded on the Moscow Exchange is also rising, reaching 75.79 rubles. Analysts note that falling commodity prices are weighing on the ruble, and starting in July, the national currency will completely lose the support provided by the Central Bank’s yuan interventions in National Wealth Fund (NWF) operations. Major brokerage firms such as BKS Mir Investitsiy are already forecasting an inevitable rise in the U.S. dollar to 80 rubles by the end of summer. The question is whether the devaluation momentum will be enough to push stock market futures above 79 rubles by the end of July.
ConditionsYes: if, during the period from July 15 to July 31, 2026, the price of the perpetual U.S. dollar futures contract (USDRUBF) on the Moscow Exchange at the close of regular trading reaches ≥ 79.00 rubles at least once.
No: if, during the period from July 15 to July 31, 2026, the price of the perpetual U.S. dollar futures contract (USDRUBF) on the Moscow Exchange at the close of regular trading sessions remains strictly below 79.00 rubles at all times.
Timeline
OpenedJun 25, 2026, 3:28 PM
Closes
Jul 10, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsAug 1, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedJun 25, 2026, 3:28 PM
Closes
Jul 10, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsAug 1, 2026, 8:59 PM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
#
User
Vol.
1
MotileGiro
MotileGiro8 BPCX
2
ConicMalraux
ConicMalraux5 BPCX
Voted for NO
#
User
Vol.
1
InsaneHammock
InsaneHammock25 BPCX
2
ShrillManipur
ShrillManipur24 BPCX
3
BlitheWits
BlitheWits7 BPCX
Active
Will the perpetual dollar futures contract (USDRUBF) break through the 79-ruble mark by July 31?
Volume~$69
DescriptionThe Russian currency is showing a steady decline in the over-the-counter market, where the dollar exchange rate has broken through the psychological barrier of 76 rubles for the first time in two months. Following this trend, the perpetual U.S. dollar futures contract (USDRUBF) traded on the Moscow Exchange is also rising, reaching 75.79 rubles. Analysts note that falling commodity prices are weighing on the ruble, and starting in July, the national currency will completely lose the support provided by the Central Bank’s yuan interventions in National Wealth Fund (NWF) operations. Major brokerage firms such as BKS Mir Investitsiy are already forecasting an inevitable rise in the U.S. dollar to 80 rubles by the end of summer. The question is whether the devaluation momentum will be enough to push stock market futures above 79 rubles by the end of July.
ConditionsYes: if, during the period from July 15 to July 31, 2026, the price of the perpetual U.S. dollar futures contract (USDRUBF) on the Moscow Exchange at the close of regular trading reaches ≥ 79.00 rubles at least once.
No: if, during the period from July 15 to July 31, 2026, the price of the perpetual U.S. dollar futures contract (USDRUBF) on the Moscow Exchange at the close of regular trading sessions remains strictly below 79.00 rubles at all times.