Completed
The winning outcome:
YES
Will Russia intervene in the conflict between Iran and the United States?
Volume~$50
YES chance
DescriptionAgainst the backdrop of Trump’s statements about his willingness to strike a deal and the ongoing strikes in the region, Russia’s role as a mediator or military ally of Iran is becoming crucial. In March 2026, attention will be focused on possible deliveries of air defense systems or official statements from the Kremlin regarding the protection of Iranian facilities. Such intervention could take the form of diplomatic action (a veto at the UN, mediation in negotiations) or military-technical support. The key question is whether Russia will take official actions by the end of the month that the international community will view as direct involvement in the resolution of the conflict or support for one of the parties involved.
ConditionsYes: if, by March 31, 2026, Russia officially acts as a mediator in the negotiations, provides military aid, or announces the deployment of troops or instructors to protect facilities in Iran.
No: if, by the end of March 2026, Russia limits itself to standard calls for de-escalation without taking active measures or directly participating in the conflict.
Timeline
OpenedMar 1, 2026, 4:55 PM
Closes
Mar 7, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsApr 1, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedMar 1, 2026, 4:55 PM
Closes
Mar 7, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsApr 1, 2026, 8:59 PM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
#
User
Vol.
1
MotileGiro
MotileGiro25 BPCX
Voted for NO
#
User
Vol.
1
wEEd
wEEd13 BPCX
2
heySI1
heySI17 BPCX
3
ton_explore
ton_explore3 BPCX
4
InsaneHammock
InsaneHammock2 BPCX
Completed
The winning outcome:
YES
Will Russia intervene in the conflict between Iran and the United States?
Volume~$50
DescriptionAgainst the backdrop of Trump’s statements about his willingness to strike a deal and the ongoing strikes in the region, Russia’s role as a mediator or military ally of Iran is becoming crucial. In March 2026, attention will be focused on possible deliveries of air defense systems or official statements from the Kremlin regarding the protection of Iranian facilities. Such intervention could take the form of diplomatic action (a veto at the UN, mediation in negotiations) or military-technical support. The key question is whether Russia will take official actions by the end of the month that the international community will view as direct involvement in the resolution of the conflict or support for one of the parties involved.
ConditionsYes: if, by March 31, 2026, Russia officially acts as a mediator in the negotiations, provides military aid, or announces the deployment of troops or instructors to protect facilities in Iran.
No: if, by the end of March 2026, Russia limits itself to standard calls for de-escalation without taking active measures or directly participating in the conflict.
Event resultsView all
MotileGiro
boughtYeson a 25 BPCX