Completed
The winning outcome:
YES
Will the price of Brent crude oil rise above $85?
Volume~$100
YES chance
DescriptionAgainst the backdrop of a virtual halt in shipments through the Strait of Hormuz and damage to oil refineries in Saudi Arabia, global markets are expecting a supply shortfall of up to 2–3 million barrels per day. Analysts at RBC Investments note that the current price of $72.56 appears undervalued relative to the risks. A rise to $85 (about a 17% increase from current levels) is possible in the second half of March if Saudi Arabia officially confirms that its production facilities will remain shut down for the long term or if it enters into direct military conflict.
Conditions"Yes: if, during the period from March 15 to March 25, 2026, the exchange price of Brent crude oil was ≥ $85 at least once.
No: if, between March 15 and 25, 2026, the price of Brent always remained < $85."
Timeline
OpenedMar 3, 2026, 7:10 PM
Closes
Mar 8, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsMar 26, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedMar 3, 2026, 7:10 PM
Closes
Mar 8, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsMar 26, 2026, 8:59 PM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
#
User
Vol.
1
FirmGang
FirmGang28 BPCX
2
ton_explore
ton_explore21 BPCX
3
LargoDewey
LargoDewey1 BPCX
Voted for NO
#
User
Vol.
1
ShrillManipur
ShrillManipur35 BPCX
2
MMTrader
MMTrader14 BPCX
3
BTC_BOSS
BTC_BOSS1 BPCX
Event resultsView all
FirmGang
boughtYeson a 28 BPCX
ton_explore
boughtYeson a 21 BPCX
LargoDewey
boughtYeson a 1 BPCX
Completed
The winning outcome:
YES
Will the price of Brent crude oil rise above $85?
Volume~$100
DescriptionAgainst the backdrop of a virtual halt in shipments through the Strait of Hormuz and damage to oil refineries in Saudi Arabia, global markets are expecting a supply shortfall of up to 2–3 million barrels per day. Analysts at RBC Investments note that the current price of $72.56 appears undervalued relative to the risks. A rise to $85 (about a 17% increase from current levels) is possible in the second half of March if Saudi Arabia officially confirms that its production facilities will remain shut down for the long term or if it enters into direct military conflict.
Event resultsView all
FirmGang
boughtYeson a 28 BPCX
ton_explore
boughtYeson a 21 BPCX
LargoDewey
boughtYeson a 1 BPCX