Active
Will Micron announce that it has sold out its entire HBM memory capacity for 2026?
Volume~$21
YES chance
100 BPCX
100 BPCX
DescriptionAnalysts at investment bank Bernstein have noted a dramatic shortage of high-bandwidth memory (HBM), which is essential for training neural networks. Tech giants’ procurement spending has risen by more than 30%. Micron Technology is facing peak production capacity at its factories. The industry expects that, amid the frenzy, the company may issue an official statement announcing that all production capacity for HBM memory for the current year is fully booked and sold out. The question is whether Micron will issue such a statement by the end of July.
ConditionsYes: if, between July 16 and 27, 2026, Micron Technology officially issues a press release or management statement announcing that 100% of its HBM memory production capacity for 2026 has been fully sold out.No: if, by July 28, 2026, no such official statements regarding the complete sell-out of annual volumes are issued by Micron’s management.
Timeline
OpenedJun 28, 2026, 9:19 AM
Closes
Jul 15, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsJul 28, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedJun 28, 2026, 9:19 AM
Closes
Jul 15, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsJul 28, 2026, 8:59 PM
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Voted for YES
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MotileGiro
MotileGiro8 BPCX
Voted for NO
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InsaneHammock
InsaneHammock13 BPCX
Active
Will Micron announce that it has sold out its entire HBM memory capacity for 2026?
Volume~$21
DescriptionAnalysts at investment bank Bernstein have noted a dramatic shortage of high-bandwidth memory (HBM), which is essential for training neural networks. Tech giants’ procurement spending has risen by more than 30%. Micron Technology is facing peak production capacity at its factories. The industry expects that, amid the frenzy, the company may issue an official statement announcing that all production capacity for HBM memory for the current year is fully booked and sold out. The question is whether Micron will issue such a statement by the end of July.
ConditionsYes: if, between July 16 and 27, 2026, Micron Technology officially issues a press release or management statement announcing that 100% of its HBM memory production capacity for 2026 has been fully sold out.No: if, by July 28, 2026, no such official statements regarding the complete sell-out of annual volumes are issued by Micron’s management.