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Any of the EU countries will formally request that Ukraine's accession talks be suspended in July?
Volume~$4
YES chance
100 BPCX
100 BPCX
DescriptionIn June 2026, The Guardian, citing internal reports by European officials, reported that Ukraine had implemented only 15 percent of the agreed plan of priority reforms. Problems with strengthening the independence of anti-corruption bodies and appointing judges are causing growing behind-the-scenes discontent not only in Budapest, but also in several other European capitals tired of pushing European integration. The bet will be on whether the official leadership (prime minister, president or foreign minister) of at least one EU member state will publicly demand that the negotiation process be frozen or suspended during July.
ConditionsYes: if during the period from July 1 to July 31, 2026, the top officials of at least one EU member state officially demand to suspend or freeze negotiations on Ukraine's membership in the Union.No: if during the whole of July 2026, no EU member state makes an official demand to suspend or freeze the negotiation process.
Timeline
OpenedJun 15, 2026, 7:25 AM
Closes
Jun 30, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsAug 1, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedJun 15, 2026, 7:25 AM
Closes
Jun 30, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsAug 1, 2026, 8:59 PM
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ton_explore4 BPCX
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Active
Any of the EU countries will formally request that Ukraine's accession talks be suspended in July?
Volume~$4
DescriptionIn June 2026, The Guardian, citing internal reports by European officials, reported that Ukraine had implemented only 15 percent of the agreed plan of priority reforms. Problems with strengthening the independence of anti-corruption bodies and appointing judges are causing growing behind-the-scenes discontent not only in Budapest, but also in several other European capitals tired of pushing European integration. The bet will be on whether the official leadership (prime minister, president or foreign minister) of at least one EU member state will publicly demand that the negotiation process be frozen or suspended during July.
ConditionsYes: if during the period from July 1 to July 31, 2026, the top officials of at least one EU member state officially demand to suspend or freeze negotiations on Ukraine's membership in the Union.No: if during the whole of July 2026, no EU member state makes an official demand to suspend or freeze the negotiation process.