Completed
The winning outcome:
NO
Will AI-generated video labeling become mandatory in Russia?
Volume~$261
YES chance
DescriptionFollowing international practice (with China as a pioneer), State Duma deputies have introduced a package of bills requiring the labeling of all videos created using artificial intelligence. The goal is to combat disinformation and deepfakes.
The initiative has received public support from State Duma Speaker Vyacheslav Volodin. However, the bill faces a challenging path: it requires detailed discussion, coordination with the IT sector, and striking a balance between regulation and technological development.
The dilemma is whether this high-profile and socially significant bill will manage to pass the key stage of parliamentary approval within the established timeframe, or whether its consideration will be delayed due to technical and lobbying challenges.
ConditionsYES: If, by 11:59 p.m. on June 1, 2026, information is published on the State Duma’s official website (sozd.duma.gov.ru) stating that Bill No. [relevant number] “On Amending... regarding the mandatory labeling of audiovisual content created using artificial intelligence” has been adopted by the State Duma in the first reading.
NO: If, by the specified date, the bill has not been adopted in the first reading.
Timeline
OpenedFeb 6, 2026, 11:38 AM
Closes
May 14, 2026, 2:59 AMChecking results
—EndsJun 2, 2026, 2:59 AM
OpenedFeb 6, 2026, 11:38 AM
Closes
May 14, 2026, 2:59 AMChecking results
—EndsJun 2, 2026, 2:59 AM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES

#
User
Vol.
1
MotileGiro
MotileGiro30 BPCX
2
wEEd
wEEd28 BPCX
3

ton_explore
ton_explore28 BPCX
4
joS_edge
joS_edge20 BPCX
5

BlitheWits
BlitheWits14 BPCX
Voted for NO
#
User
Vol.
1
ShrillManipur
ShrillManipur28 BPCX
2
NastyAeolis
NastyAeolis28 BPCX
3
heySI1
heySI124 BPCX
4
InsaneHammock
InsaneHammock18 BPCX
5
MMTrader
MMTrader13 BPCX
Completed
The winning outcome:
NO
Will AI-generated video labeling become mandatory in Russia?
Volume~$261
DescriptionFollowing international practice (with China as a pioneer), State Duma deputies have introduced a package of bills requiring the labeling of all videos created using artificial intelligence. The goal is to combat disinformation and deepfakes.
The initiative has received public support from State Duma Speaker Vyacheslav Volodin. However, the bill faces a challenging path: it requires detailed discussion, coordination with the IT sector, and striking a balance between regulation and technological development.
The dilemma is whether this high-profile and socially significant bill will manage to pass the key stage of parliamentary approval within the established timeframe, or whether its consideration will be delayed due to technical and lobbying challenges.
ConditionsYES: If, by 11:59 p.m. on June 1, 2026, information is published on the State Duma’s official website (sozd.duma.gov.ru) stating that Bill No. [relevant number] “On Amending... regarding the mandatory labeling of audiovisual content created using artificial intelligence” has been adopted by the State Duma in the first reading.
NO: If, by the specified date, the bill has not been adopted in the first reading.
Event resultsView all
ShrillManipur
boughtNoon a 28 BPCX
NastyAeolis
boughtNoon a 28 BPCX
heySI1
boughtNoon a 24 BPCX
InsaneHammock
boughtNoon a 18 BPCX
MMTrader
boughtNoon a 13 BPCX
111
boughtNoon a 10 BPCX

5kkkkkkusdt
boughtNoon a 3 BPCX
ConicMalraux
boughtNoon a 1 BPCX