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Completed
The winning outcome:
NO

Complete Blockage of Telegram: Will the RKN Announce a Ban on the Messaging App by February 28?

Volume~$220
Political
YES chance
DescriptionStarting on February 10, 2026, Roskomnadzor began gradually restricting Telegram’s operations. The agency confirmed that the restrictions will continue until the messaging app complies with Russian law. Sources in the Russian media claim that Telegram could be completely blocked within a year. Lawmaker Mikhail Delyagin expects a complete block by September, while Denis Kuskov, head of Telecom Daily, believes the decision has already been made. The dilemma: Will such a radical step be taken as early as February, or will the process drag on, as it did with YouTube?
ConditionsYES: If, by 11:59 p.m. on February 28, 2026, information appears on Roskomnadzor’s official website (rkn.gov.ru) or in federal media reports, information appears regarding Telegram’s inclusion in the registry of banned services or the complete blocking of the messaging app within the Russian Federation. NO: If no such announcement is made.
Verification source
Timeline
OpenedFeb 13, 2026, 12:00 PM
Closes
Feb 28, 2026, 2:59 AM
Checking results
—
EndsMar 1, 2026, 2:59 AM
OpenedFeb 13, 2026, 12:00 PM
Closes
Feb 28, 2026, 2:59 AM
Checking results
—
EndsMar 1, 2026, 2:59 AM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
#
User
Vol.
1
BlitheWits
BlitheWits
25 BPCX
2
5kkkkkkusdt
5kkkkkkusdt
21 BPCX
3
buba
buba
13 BPCX
4
ShrillManipur
ShrillManipur
9 BPCX
5
joS_edge
joS_edge
1 BPCX
Voted for NO
#
User
Vol.
1
ConicMalraux
ConicMalraux
27 BPCX
2
ton_explore
ton_explore
24 BPCX
3
wEEd
wEEd
19 BPCX
4
MMTrader
MMTrader
14 BPCX
5
heySI1
heySI1
14 BPCX
Event resultsView all
ConicMalraux+37.71 BPCX
boughtNoon a 27 BPCX
ton_explore+33.52 BPCX
boughtNoon a 24 BPCX
wEEd+26.54 BPCX
boughtNoon a 19 BPCX
MMTrader+19.55 BPCX
boughtNoon a 14 BPCX
heySI1+19.55 BPCX
boughtNoon a 14 BPCX
TimedStray+19.55 BPCX
boughtNoon a 14 BPCX
SUPER-CHELOVEK+18.16 BPCX
boughtNoon a 13 BPCX
BTC_BOSS+13.97 BPCX
boughtNoon a 10 BPCX
SuperNancy+13.97 BPCX
boughtNoon a 10 BPCX
BasalSloanea+6.98 BPCX
boughtNoon a 5 BPCX
Completed
The winning outcome:
NO

Complete Blockage of Telegram: Will the RKN Announce a Ban on the Messaging App by February 28?

Volume~$220
Political
DescriptionStarting on February 10, 2026, Roskomnadzor began gradually restricting Telegram’s operations. The agency confirmed that the restrictions will continue until the messaging app complies with Russian law. Sources in the Russian media claim that Telegram could be completely blocked within a year. Lawmaker Mikhail Delyagin expects a complete block by September, while Denis Kuskov, head of Telecom Daily, believes the decision has already been made. The dilemma: Will such a radical step be taken as early as February, or will the process drag on, as it did with YouTube?
ConditionsYES: If, by 11:59 p.m. on February 28, 2026, information appears on Roskomnadzor’s official website (rkn.gov.ru) or in federal media reports, information appears regarding Telegram’s inclusion in the registry of banned services or the complete blocking of the messaging app within the Russian Federation. NO: If no such announcement is made.
Verification source
Event resultsView all
ConicMalraux+37.71 BPCX
boughtNoon a 27 BPCX
ton_explore+33.52 BPCX
boughtNoon a 24 BPCX
wEEd+26.54 BPCX
boughtNoon a 19 BPCX
MMTrader+19.55 BPCX
boughtNoon a 14 BPCX
heySI1+19.55 BPCX
boughtNoon a 14 BPCX
TimedStray+19.55 BPCX
boughtNoon a 14 BPCX
SUPER-CHELOVEK+18.16 BPCX
boughtNoon a 13 BPCX
BTC_BOSS+13.97 BPCX
boughtNoon a 10 BPCX
SuperNancy+13.97 BPCX
boughtNoon a 10 BPCX
BasalSloanea+6.98 BPCX
boughtNoon a 5 BPCX