Completed
The winning outcome:
NO
Will the State Duma or the Ministry of Education speak out against “child weddings” by March 20?
Volume~$48
YES chance
DescriptionAn experiment at the Saratov Wedding Palace, supported by local ombudsmen, may face opposition at the federal level. Psychologists and some members of the public point to the risks of romanticizing marriage at an early age. The forecast examines whether an official statement will be issued by March 20 from relevant federal agencies (the Ministry of Education) or State Duma deputies calling for such tours to be restricted or discontinued.
Conditions"Yes: if, by 23:59 on March 20, 2026, an official representative of the Russian Ministry of Education or a State Duma deputy publicly criticizes the initiative or demands an investigation into the legality of such 'games.'
No: if no official negative feedback from federal authorities is received by 11:59 p.m. on March 20, 2026."
Timeline
OpenedMar 5, 2026, 7:37 PM
Closes
Mar 12, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsMar 21, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedMar 5, 2026, 7:37 PM
Closes
Mar 12, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsMar 21, 2026, 8:59 PM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
#
User
Vol.
1
MotileGiro
MotileGiro11 BPCX
2
LargoDewey
LargoDewey1 BPCX
Voted for NO
#
User
Vol.
1
LeeryFaust
LeeryFaust35 BPCX
2
BlitheWits
BlitheWits1 BPCX
Event resultsView all
LeeryFaust
boughtNoon a 35 BPCX
BlitheWits
boughtNoon a 1 BPCX
Completed
The winning outcome:
NO
Will the State Duma or the Ministry of Education speak out against “child weddings” by March 20?
Volume~$48
DescriptionAn experiment at the Saratov Wedding Palace, supported by local ombudsmen, may face opposition at the federal level. Psychologists and some members of the public point to the risks of romanticizing marriage at an early age. The forecast examines whether an official statement will be issued by March 20 from relevant federal agencies (the Ministry of Education) or State Duma deputies calling for such tours to be restricted or discontinued.
Conditions"Yes: if, by 23:59 on March 20, 2026, an official representative of the Russian Ministry of Education or a State Duma deputy publicly criticizes the initiative or demands an investigation into the legality of such 'games.'
No: if no official negative feedback from federal authorities is received by 11:59 p.m. on March 20, 2026."
Event resultsView all
LeeryFaust
boughtNoon a 35 BPCX
BlitheWits
boughtNoon a 1 BPCX