Completed
The winning outcome:
NO
Will General William Neil McCasland be found by the end of March?
Volume~$47
YES chance
DescriptionWilliam Neil McCasland, who headed a U.S. Air Force research laboratory, disappeared without a trace on February 27, 2026, leaving his phone at home. The situation is complicated by his “medical issues,” which prompted the issuance of a Silver Alert. Search teams have already interviewed more than 600 people and reviewed dozens of surveillance camera recordings, but there are no leads. Conspiracy theorists link the disappearance to Donald Trump’s recent promise to declassify UFO files, while the general’s wife denies the theory that he was abducted because of classified information. The forecast examines whether law enforcement and volunteers will be able to find the general (alive or dead) by the end of March.
ConditionsYes: if, on or before March 31, 2026, an official announcement (made by law enforcement agencies or major media outlets such as CNN) is made regarding the discovery of William Neil McCasland’s whereabouts.
No: if, as of March 31, 2026, the general is still listed as missing.
Timeline
OpenedMar 12, 2026, 7:59 PM
Closes
Mar 17, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsApr 1, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedMar 12, 2026, 7:59 PM
Closes
Mar 17, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsApr 1, 2026, 8:59 PM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
#
User
Vol.
1
heySI1
heySI123 BPCX
Voted for NO
#
User
Vol.
1
MotileGiro
MotileGiro23 BPCX
2
LargoDewey
LargoDewey1 BPCX
Event resultsView all
MotileGiro
boughtNoon a 23 BPCX
LargoDewey
boughtNoon a 1 BPCX
Completed
The winning outcome:
NO
Will General William Neil McCasland be found by the end of March?
Volume~$47
DescriptionWilliam Neil McCasland, who headed a U.S. Air Force research laboratory, disappeared without a trace on February 27, 2026, leaving his phone at home. The situation is complicated by his “medical issues,” which prompted the issuance of a Silver Alert. Search teams have already interviewed more than 600 people and reviewed dozens of surveillance camera recordings, but there are no leads. Conspiracy theorists link the disappearance to Donald Trump’s recent promise to declassify UFO files, while the general’s wife denies the theory that he was abducted because of classified information. The forecast examines whether law enforcement and volunteers will be able to find the general (alive or dead) by the end of March.
Event resultsView all
MotileGiro
boughtNoon a 23 BPCX
LargoDewey
boughtNoon a 1 BPCX