Completed
The winning outcome:
NO
Will the USD/RUB exchange rate exceed 85 rubles in January?
Volume~$37
YES chance
DescriptionThe foreign exchange market remains sensitive to foreign policy news and commodity price movements. January is traditionally characterized by heightened volatility. This forecast examines whether a combination of factors (such as continued sanctions pressure and a decline in export revenues) will exert sufficient pressure on the ruble to push it to the specified level.
Conditions“Yes”: If the official USD/RUB exchange rate set by the Central Bank of the Russian Federation reaches or exceeds 85 on any business day between January 1, 2026, and January 31, 2026.
“No”: If the highest exchange rate during the period remains below 85.
Timeline
OpenedDec 1, 2025, 1:43 AM
Closes
Jan 1, 2026, 2:59 AMChecking results
—EndsFeb 2, 2026, 2:59 AM
OpenedDec 1, 2025, 1:43 AM
Closes
Jan 1, 2026, 2:59 AMChecking results
—EndsFeb 2, 2026, 2:59 AM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
#
User
Vol.
1
Anonymous
20 BPCX
Voted for NO
#
User
Vol.
1
ConicMalraux
ConicMalraux17 BPCX
Completed
The winning outcome:
NO
Will the USD/RUB exchange rate exceed 85 rubles in January?
Volume~$37
DescriptionThe foreign exchange market remains sensitive to foreign policy news and commodity price movements. January is traditionally characterized by heightened volatility. This forecast examines whether a combination of factors (such as continued sanctions pressure and a decline in export revenues) will exert sufficient pressure on the ruble to push it to the specified level.
Event resultsView all
ConicMalraux
boughtNoon a 17 BPCX