Completed
The winning outcome:
NO
Will the share of QR code payments in Russia exceed 35%?
Volume~$242
YES chance
DescriptionAt the “TOLK-2026” forum, PSB experts predicted the end of the plastic card era. The main driver is the economic benefit for businesses: the acquiring fee for QR code payments (0.7%) is three times lower than the standard rate (2–2.5%). Given the active rollout of the universal QR code by the National Payment System (NSPK) and support from major banks, the share of such transactions in retail is growing rapidly. According to Central Bank data as of early 2026, the figure has already approached 30%. Will the market manage to cross the 35% threshold by summer amid the mass transition of retailers to BLE terminals and QR codes?
ConditionsYes: if, in the official report of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation or the National Payment System for May 2026, the share of payments made via the SBP/QR codes in the total volume of non-cash transactions is ≥ 35%.No: if, as of the end of May 2026, this figure is < 35%.
Timeline
OpenedApr 3, 2026, 10:26 PM
Closes
May 15, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsJun 20, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedApr 3, 2026, 10:26 PM
Closes
May 15, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsJun 20, 2026, 8:59 PM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
#
User
Vol.
1
5kkkkkkusdt
5kkkkkkusdt77 BPCX
2
buba
buba17 BPCX
3
InsaneHammock
InsaneHammock10 BPCX
4
FirmGang
FirmGang9 BPCX
5
MMTrader
MMTrader4 BPCX
Voted for NO
#
User
Vol.
1
joS_edge
joS_edge28 BPCX
2
NastyAeolis
NastyAeolis28 BPCX
3
MotileGiro
MotileGiro24 BPCX
4
heySI1
heySI124 BPCX
5
ton_explore
ton_explore7 BPCX
Event resultsView all
joS_edge
boughtNoon a 28 BPCX
NastyAeolis
boughtNoon a 28 BPCX
MotileGiro
boughtNoon a 24 BPCX
heySI1
boughtNoon a 24 BPCX
ton_explore
boughtNoon a 7 BPCX
ShrillManipur
boughtNoon a 6 BPCX
wEEd
boughtNoon a 3 BPCX
BTC_BOSS
boughtNoon a 2 BPCX
Completed
The winning outcome:
NO
Will the share of QR code payments in Russia exceed 35%?
Volume~$242
DescriptionAt the “TOLK-2026” forum, PSB experts predicted the end of the plastic card era. The main driver is the economic benefit for businesses: the acquiring fee for QR code payments (0.7%) is three times lower than the standard rate (2–2.5%). Given the active rollout of the universal QR code by the National Payment System (NSPK) and support from major banks, the share of such transactions in retail is growing rapidly. According to Central Bank data as of early 2026, the figure has already approached 30%. Will the market manage to cross the 35% threshold by summer amid the mass transition of retailers to BLE terminals and QR codes?
Event resultsView all
joS_edge
boughtNoon a 28 BPCX
NastyAeolis
boughtNoon a 28 BPCX
MotileGiro
boughtNoon a 24 BPCX
heySI1
boughtNoon a 24 BPCX
ton_explore
boughtNoon a 7 BPCX
ShrillManipur
boughtNoon a 6 BPCX
wEEd
boughtNoon a 3 BPCX
BTC_BOSS
boughtNoon a 2 BPCX