Active
Will Alfa-Bank announce the purchase or acquisition of another bank by July 28?
Volume~$21
YES chance
100 BPCX
100 BPCX
DescriptionVladimir Verkhoshinsky’s statements about the imminent demise of smaller competitors may be a direct attempt to prepare the market for new mergers and acquisitions (M&A) deals. Alfa-Bank is actively building up its capital and market share by acquiring high-quality regional assets or fintech platforms outside the top 20. Speculators are betting on a scenario in which the bank is already in negotiations and will announce a new major acquisition in mid-summer. The bet is on an official announcement from Alfa.
ConditionsYes: if, between July 16 and August 31, 2026, Alfa-Bank officially announces an acquisition, takeover, or merger with any other Russian commercial bank.No: if Alfa-Bank does not make any official public announcements regarding such transactions by September 1, 2026.
Timeline
OpenedJul 2, 2026, 7:53 AM
Closes
Jul 15, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsSep 1, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedJul 2, 2026, 7:53 AM
Closes
Jul 15, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsSep 1, 2026, 8:59 PM
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MMTrader
MMTrader18 BPCX
2
ConicMalraux
ConicMalraux3 BPCX
Voted for NO
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Active
Will Alfa-Bank announce the purchase or acquisition of another bank by July 28?
Volume~$21
DescriptionVladimir Verkhoshinsky’s statements about the imminent demise of smaller competitors may be a direct attempt to prepare the market for new mergers and acquisitions (M&A) deals. Alfa-Bank is actively building up its capital and market share by acquiring high-quality regional assets or fintech platforms outside the top 20. Speculators are betting on a scenario in which the bank is already in negotiations and will announce a new major acquisition in mid-summer. The bet is on an official announcement from Alfa.