Active
Will the refinancing rate in Belarus fall below 9.25% in July?
Volume~$26
YES chance
100 BPCX
100 BPCX
DescriptionAmid tightening regulations in the IT sector and transaction controls, the National Bank of the Republic of Belarus is simultaneously pursuing an accommodative monetary policy—with the policy rate lowered to 9.25%. Will the regulator implement further easing in the second half of July to support business lending, or will it take a pause?
ConditionsYes: if, during the period from July 16 to July 31, 2026, the National Bank of the Republic of Belarus’s official refinancing rate is set at less than 9.25% per annum at least once
No: if, during the period from July 16 to July 31, 2026, the official refinancing rate of the National Bank of the Republic of Belarus remains at or above 9.25% per annum at all times
Timeline
OpenedJul 1, 2026, 10:42 PM
Closes
Jul 15, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsAug 1, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedJul 1, 2026, 10:42 PM
Closes
Jul 15, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsAug 1, 2026, 8:59 PM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
#
User
Vol.
1
ShrillManipur
ShrillManipur26 BPCX
Voted for NO
No holders yet
Active
Will the refinancing rate in Belarus fall below 9.25% in July?
Volume~$26
DescriptionAmid tightening regulations in the IT sector and transaction controls, the National Bank of the Republic of Belarus is simultaneously pursuing an accommodative monetary policy—with the policy rate lowered to 9.25%. Will the regulator implement further easing in the second half of July to support business lending, or will it take a pause?
ConditionsYes: if, during the period from July 16 to July 31, 2026, the National Bank of the Republic of Belarus’s official refinancing rate is set at less than 9.25% per annum at least once
No: if, during the period from July 16 to July 31, 2026, the official refinancing rate of the National Bank of the Republic of Belarus remains at or above 9.25% per annum at all times