Awaiting summarization
Will Donald Trump be impeached in 2026?
Volume~$379
YES chance
DescriptionIn March 2026, Donald Trump faced a sharp drop in his approval rating amid the war with Iran. Democrats in Congress had already drafted impeachment resolutions accusing the president of overstepping his authority. Trump himself publicly acknowledged the threat, stating that if the Democrats win the midterm elections in November, “they will find a reason to impeach him.” The forecast examines whether the matter will proceed to a formal vote in the House of Representatives and the announcement of impeachment (already the third in his career) by the end of this year.
ConditionsYes: if, on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. House of Representatives votes to adopt at least one article of impeachment against Donald Trump.
No: if, by the end of 2026, formal impeachment proceedings have not been initiated, or if a vote in the House of Representatives does not take place or fails to secure a majority.
Timeline
OpenedMar 12, 2026, 7:44 PM
Closes
Jun 30, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsJan 1, 2027, 8:59 PM
OpenedMar 12, 2026, 7:44 PM
Closes
Jun 30, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsJan 1, 2027, 8:59 PM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
#
User
Vol.
1
InsaneHammock
InsaneHammock29 BPCX
2
BlitheWits
BlitheWits23 BPCX
3
MMTrader
MMTrader22 BPCX
4
heySI1
heySI122 BPCX
5
ton_explore
ton_explore19 BPCX
Voted for NO
#
User
Vol.
1
111
111140 BPCX
2
NastyAeolis
NastyAeolis24 BPCX
3
MotileGiro
MotileGiro11 BPCX
4
5kkkkkkusdt
5kkkkkkusdt11 BPCX
5
ShrillManipur
ShrillManipur2 BPCX
Awaiting summarization
Will Donald Trump be impeached in 2026?
Volume~$379
DescriptionIn March 2026, Donald Trump faced a sharp drop in his approval rating amid the war with Iran. Democrats in Congress had already drafted impeachment resolutions accusing the president of overstepping his authority. Trump himself publicly acknowledged the threat, stating that if the Democrats win the midterm elections in November, “they will find a reason to impeach him.” The forecast examines whether the matter will proceed to a formal vote in the House of Representatives and the announcement of impeachment (already the third in his career) by the end of this year.
ConditionsYes: if, on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. House of Representatives votes to adopt at least one article of impeachment against Donald Trump.
No: if, by the end of 2026, formal impeachment proceedings have not been initiated, or if a vote in the House of Representatives does not take place or fails to secure a majority.
Event results
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