Active
Will Brent crude break through the $84 mark by July 15 amid the earthquake in Venezuela?
Volume~$48
YES chance
100 BPCX
100 BPCX
DescriptionAn earthquake with a magnitude of up to 7.5—the strongest recorded off the coast of Venezuela in the last century—has caused serious damage to coastal infrastructure. Venezuela is a key player in the global hydrocarbons market. Traders fear that the tremors may have damaged oil loading terminals and port facilities, which will inevitably lead to disruptions in exports and local shortages of raw materials. A barrel of Brent is currently trading around $80.62. Against the backdrop of these risks, speculators are actively pricing in a premium to the cost of “black gold.” The bet is on whether Brent crude will be able to break through a local resistance level by mid-July.
ConditionsYes: if, between July 1 and July 15, 2026, the price of Brent crude oil futures on the ICE exchange reaches at least $84.00 per barrel at least once.No: if, during the period from July 1 to July 15, 2026, the price of Brent crude oil futures on the ICE exchange trades strictly below $84.00 per barrel at all times.
Timeline
OpenedJun 25, 2026, 11:58 AM
Closes
Jun 30, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsJul 16, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedJun 25, 2026, 11:58 AM
Closes
Jun 30, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsJul 16, 2026, 8:59 PM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
#
User
Vol.
1
FirmGang
FirmGang25 BPCX
2
MMTrader
MMTrader1 BPCX
Voted for NO
#
User
Vol.
1
heySI1
heySI122 BPCX
Active
Will Brent crude break through the $84 mark by July 15 amid the earthquake in Venezuela?
Volume~$48
DescriptionAn earthquake with a magnitude of up to 7.5—the strongest recorded off the coast of Venezuela in the last century—has caused serious damage to coastal infrastructure. Venezuela is a key player in the global hydrocarbons market. Traders fear that the tremors may have damaged oil loading terminals and port facilities, which will inevitably lead to disruptions in exports and local shortages of raw materials. A barrel of Brent is currently trading around $80.62. Against the backdrop of these risks, speculators are actively pricing in a premium to the cost of “black gold.” The bet is on whether Brent crude will be able to break through a local resistance level by mid-July.
ConditionsYes: if, between July 1 and July 15, 2026, the price of Brent crude oil futures on the ICE exchange reaches at least $84.00 per barrel at least once.No: if, during the period from July 1 to July 15, 2026, the price of Brent crude oil futures on the ICE exchange trades strictly below $84.00 per barrel at all times.