Completed
The winning outcome:
YES
"Michael"'s Rating on Kinopoisk: Will the Biopic Be a Masterpiece?
Volume~$103
YES chance
DescriptionAntoine Fuqua’s biopic *Michael* is one of the most anticipated releases of 2026. The screenplay by John Logan (*Gladiator*, “The Aviator”) and the participation of the King of Pop’s nephew, Jafar Jackson, set the bar high. Historically, high-quality musical biopics (“Bohemian Rhapsody,” “Elvis”) receive high ratings in Russia—typically in the 7.5–8.2 range. However, the singer’s controversial legacy and the possible censorship of sensitive topics could divide critics and audiences. Given the Russian audience’s loyalty to Michael Jackson, the final rating on Kinopoisk two weeks after the premiere will be the main indicator of the film’s success.
ConditionsYes: if, as of June 11, 2026 (two weeks after its premiere), the rating for the movie “Michael” (2026) on Kinopoisk is ≥ 7.8.
No: if, as of June 11, 2026, the rating for the movie “Michael” (2026) on Kinopoisk is < 7.8.
Timeline
OpenedApr 13, 2026, 7:47 PM
Closes
May 27, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsJun 12, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedApr 13, 2026, 7:47 PM
Closes
May 27, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsJun 12, 2026, 8:59 PM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
#
User
Vol.
1
joS_edge
joS_edge19 BPCX
2
BlitheWits
BlitheWits16 BPCX
3
InsaneHammock
InsaneHammock14 BPCX
4
MotileGiro
MotileGiro7 BPCX
5
NastyAeolis
NastyAeolis2 BPCX
Voted for NO
#
User
Vol.
1
FirmGang
FirmGang16 BPCX
2
MMTrader
MMTrader11 BPCX
3
ConicMalraux
ConicMalraux9 BPCX
4
ton_explore
ton_explore6 BPCX
5
VINT
VINT1 BPCX
Event resultsView all
joS_edge
boughtYeson a 19 BPCX
BlitheWits
boughtYeson a 16 BPCX
InsaneHammock
boughtYeson a 14 BPCX
MotileGiro
boughtYeson a 7 BPCX
NastyAeolis
boughtYeson a 2 BPCX
LargoDewey
boughtYeson a 1 BPCX
Completed
The winning outcome:
YES
"Michael"'s Rating on Kinopoisk: Will the Biopic Be a Masterpiece?
Volume~$103
DescriptionAntoine Fuqua’s biopic *Michael* is one of the most anticipated releases of 2026. The screenplay by John Logan (*Gladiator*, “The Aviator”) and the participation of the King of Pop’s nephew, Jafar Jackson, set the bar high. Historically, high-quality musical biopics (“Bohemian Rhapsody,” “Elvis”) receive high ratings in Russia—typically in the 7.5–8.2 range. However, the singer’s controversial legacy and the possible censorship of sensitive topics could divide critics and audiences. Given the Russian audience’s loyalty to Michael Jackson, the final rating on Kinopoisk two weeks after the premiere will be the main indicator of the film’s success.
Event resultsView all
joS_edge
boughtYeson a 19 BPCX
BlitheWits
boughtYeson a 16 BPCX
InsaneHammock
boughtYeson a 14 BPCX
MotileGiro
boughtYeson a 7 BPCX
NastyAeolis
boughtYeson a 2 BPCX
LargoDewey
boughtYeson a 1 BPCX