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The average rate for RMB loans of 91 to 180 days will exceed 12% per annum in July 2026?
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YES chance
100 BPCX
100 BPCX
DescriptionIn June 2026, the Bank of Russia recorded the consequences of a severe RMB liquidity crisis. Russian banks were forced to sharply reduce the maturity of corporate loans, and the average cost of borrowing in RMB for 91 to 180 days soared to 11% per annum. Importers continue to face enormous difficulties with cross-border settlements, which is fueling domestic demand for the Chinese currency. The betting will play on whether the cost of medium-term yuan financing for business will continue its rally and whether the Central Bank's weighted average rate will exceed the 12% APR target by the end of July.
ConditionsYes: if in the official statistical bulletin or analytical data of the Bank of Russia at the end of July 2026 the weighted average rate on loans to non-financial organizations in Chinese yuan for a term of 91 to 180 days is ≥ 12.01% per annum.No: if at the end of July 2026 the weighted average rate of the Central Bank in this segment is strictly ≤ 12.00% per annum.
Timeline
OpenedJun 15, 2026, 7:09 AM
Closes
Jun 30, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsSep 15, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedJun 15, 2026, 7:09 AM
Closes
Jun 30, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsSep 15, 2026, 8:59 PM
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Active
The average rate for RMB loans of 91 to 180 days will exceed 12% per annum in July 2026?
Volume~$0
DescriptionIn June 2026, the Bank of Russia recorded the consequences of a severe RMB liquidity crisis. Russian banks were forced to sharply reduce the maturity of corporate loans, and the average cost of borrowing in RMB for 91 to 180 days soared to 11% per annum. Importers continue to face enormous difficulties with cross-border settlements, which is fueling domestic demand for the Chinese currency. The betting will play on whether the cost of medium-term yuan financing for business will continue its rally and whether the Central Bank's weighted average rate will exceed the 12% APR target by the end of July.
ConditionsYes: if in the official statistical bulletin or analytical data of the Bank of Russia at the end of July 2026 the weighted average rate on loans to non-financial organizations in Chinese yuan for a term of 91 to 180 days is ≥ 12.01% per annum.No: if at the end of July 2026 the weighted average rate of the Central Bank in this segment is strictly ≤ 12.00% per annum.