Completed
The winning outcome:
YES
Will the Pentagon release a new report on UFOs by March 20?
Volume~$16
YES chance
Description"There is no set timeline for the release of documents on extraterrestrials," said Pentagon Chief Hegset.
He added that information about UFOs will be disclosed at many levels. “This will be a carefully considered process. <...>
I don’t want to make too many promises and [ultimately] fail to keep them.”
Pete Hegset takes a hard line on the secrecy of military archives.
However, under pressure from the House Oversight Committee, the Pentagon may release an “unclassified version” of its annual report on anomalous phenomena ahead of schedule to quell the wave of criticism. The question is whether a new official document analyzing the latest cases of pilots’ encounters with unidentified objects will appear on the official website of AARO (the Pentagon’s UFO division) or in open sources.
Conditions"Yes: if a new report or summary of data on unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP/UFO) is published on the official website of the U.S. Department of Defense or AARO (aaro.mil) by March 20, 2026.
No: if no new documents are officially published by March 20, 2026."
Timeline
OpenedFeb 24, 2026, 5:54 PM
Closes
Mar 4, 2026, 2:59 AMChecking results
—EndsMar 22, 2026, 2:59 AM
OpenedFeb 24, 2026, 5:54 PM
Closes
Mar 4, 2026, 2:59 AMChecking results
—EndsMar 22, 2026, 2:59 AM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
#
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Vol.
1
ton_explore
ton_explore8 BPCX
Voted for NO
#
User
Vol.
1
MotileGiro
MotileGiro8 BPCX
Event resultsView all
ton_explore
boughtYeson a 8 BPCX
Completed
The winning outcome:
YES
Will the Pentagon release a new report on UFOs by March 20?
Volume~$16
Description"There is no set timeline for the release of documents on extraterrestrials," said Pentagon Chief Hegset.
He added that information about UFOs will be disclosed at many levels. “This will be a carefully considered process. <...>
I don’t want to make too many promises and [ultimately] fail to keep them.”
Pete Hegset takes a hard line on the secrecy of military archives.
However, under pressure from the House Oversight Committee, the Pentagon may release an “unclassified version” of its annual report on anomalous phenomena ahead of schedule to quell the wave of criticism. The question is whether a new official document analyzing the latest cases of pilots’ encounters with unidentified objects will appear on the official website of AARO (the Pentagon’s UFO division) or in open sources.
Event resultsView all
ton_explore
boughtYeson a 8 BPCX