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Will wage arrears in Russia exceed ₽3.05 billion by the end of June?
Volume~$11
YES chance
100 BPCX
100 BPCX
DescriptionAccording to the latest data from Rosstat, the total amount of wage arrears owed to Russians has reached 2.96 billion rubles, marking a sharp year-over-year increase of 78.1%. Economists attribute this to rising business costs amid the Central Bank’s high key rate and rising logistics costs. If, in June, companies in the manufacturing and construction sectors are unable to quickly bridge their cash flow gaps, this figure will continue to hit new local highs. The question is whether Rosstat will report further growth in arrears above the ₽3.05 billion mark in its next monthly report.
ConditionsYes: if, in Rosstat’s official report on Russia’s socioeconomic situation (section “Wage Arrears”), published in July 2026 (based on June figures), the total amount of overdue wages will be ≥ 3.05 billion rubles.
No: if, in Rosstat’s report for June 2026, the amount of wage arrears is < 3.05 billion rubles.
Timeline
OpenedJun 25, 2026, 5:08 PM
Closes
Jul 20, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsJul 26, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedJun 25, 2026, 5:08 PM
Closes
Jul 20, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsJul 26, 2026, 8:59 PM
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MotileGiro
MotileGiro11 BPCX
Active
Will wage arrears in Russia exceed ₽3.05 billion by the end of June?
Volume~$11
DescriptionAccording to the latest data from Rosstat, the total amount of wage arrears owed to Russians has reached 2.96 billion rubles, marking a sharp year-over-year increase of 78.1%. Economists attribute this to rising business costs amid the Central Bank’s high key rate and rising logistics costs. If, in June, companies in the manufacturing and construction sectors are unable to quickly bridge their cash flow gaps, this figure will continue to hit new local highs. The question is whether Rosstat will report further growth in arrears above the ₽3.05 billion mark in its next monthly report.
ConditionsYes: if, in Rosstat’s official report on Russia’s socioeconomic situation (section “Wage Arrears”), published in July 2026 (based on June figures), the total amount of overdue wages will be ≥ 3.05 billion rubles.
No: if, in Rosstat’s report for June 2026, the amount of wage arrears is < 3.05 billion rubles.