Active
Will Russian banks file new lawsuits against Euroclear with the ACGM totaling ₽5 billion in July?
Volume~$29
YES chance
100 BPCX
100 BPCX
DescriptionWhile the Central Bank is locked in a battle with Euroclear over sovereign reserves, commercial banks and asset management companies in the Russian Federation continue to flood the Moscow Arbitration Court with claims, demanding compensation for the frozen assets of individuals and legal entities. The regulator’s large-scale lawsuit has given other financial market participants free rein. The question is whether the Moscow Arbitration Court will see a new wave of claims from Russian financial institutions in the remaining days of July.
ConditionsYes: if, between July 16 and July 31, 2026, the Moscow Arbitration Court (Moscow Arbitration Court) registers new claims filed by commercial banks or the Central Bank of the Russian Federation against Euroclear Bank with a total aggregate amount of claims ≥ 5,000,000,000 rubles.No: if the total amount of new claims filed by banks against Euroclear with the ASGM during the specified period is strictly < 5 billion rubles.
Timeline
OpenedJul 1, 2026, 5:57 AM
Closes
Jul 15, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsAug 1, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedJul 1, 2026, 5:57 AM
Closes
Jul 15, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsAug 1, 2026, 8:59 PM
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wEEd29 BPCX
Active
Will Russian banks file new lawsuits against Euroclear with the ACGM totaling ₽5 billion in July?
Volume~$29
DescriptionWhile the Central Bank is locked in a battle with Euroclear over sovereign reserves, commercial banks and asset management companies in the Russian Federation continue to flood the Moscow Arbitration Court with claims, demanding compensation for the frozen assets of individuals and legal entities. The regulator’s large-scale lawsuit has given other financial market participants free rein. The question is whether the Moscow Arbitration Court will see a new wave of claims from Russian financial institutions in the remaining days of July.
ConditionsYes: if, between July 16 and July 31, 2026, the Moscow Arbitration Court (Moscow Arbitration Court) registers new claims filed by commercial banks or the Central Bank of the Russian Federation against Euroclear Bank with a total aggregate amount of claims ≥ 5,000,000,000 rubles.No: if the total amount of new claims filed by banks against Euroclear with the ASGM during the specified period is strictly < 5 billion rubles.