Completed
The winning outcome:
NO
Will the first round of Trump's negotiations with Iran take place this week?
Volume~$27
YES chance
DescriptionFollowing Donald Trump’s high-profile statement in an interview with *The Atlantic* about his willingness to “talk to them,” global diplomacy has entered a wait-and-see mode. Trump noted that Iran has “waited too long,” and the ball is now in Tehran’s court. Given his style of conducting business through quick deals, experts do not rule out the possibility of an emergency first round of talks (including a video conference or a closed-door meeting on neutral ground) taking place within the next 7 days. The focus is on whether official confirmation of the first direct dialogue will be received from the White House or the Iranian Foreign Ministry by the end of the week.
ConditionsYes: if, between March 2 and 8, 2026, the first round of negotiations (in any format) between representatives of Trump and Iran is officially announced.
No: if no direct contact is recorded by the end of the day on March 8, 2026, and the parties limit themselves to mutual statements in the media.
Timeline
OpenedMar 1, 2026, 4:39 PM
Closes
Mar 3, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsMar 9, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedMar 1, 2026, 4:39 PM
Closes
Mar 3, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsMar 9, 2026, 8:59 PM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
#
User
Vol.
1
heySI1
heySI111 BPCX
Voted for NO
#
User
Vol.
1
5kkkkkkusdt
5kkkkkkusdt11 BPCX
2
SomberFlasher
SomberFlasher4 BPCX
3
LargoDewey
LargoDewey1 BPCX
Event resultsView all
5kkkkkkusdt
boughtNoon a 11 BPCX
SomberFlasher
boughtNoon a 4 BPCX
LargoDewey
boughtNoon a 1 BPCX
Completed
The winning outcome:
NO
Will the first round of Trump's negotiations with Iran take place this week?
Volume~$27
DescriptionFollowing Donald Trump’s high-profile statement in an interview with *The Atlantic* about his willingness to “talk to them,” global diplomacy has entered a wait-and-see mode. Trump noted that Iran has “waited too long,” and the ball is now in Tehran’s court. Given his style of conducting business through quick deals, experts do not rule out the possibility of an emergency first round of talks (including a video conference or a closed-door meeting on neutral ground) taking place within the next 7 days. The focus is on whether official confirmation of the first direct dialogue will be received from the White House or the Iranian Foreign Ministry by the end of the week.
ConditionsYes: if, between March 2 and 8, 2026, the first round of negotiations (in any format) between representatives of Trump and Iran is officially announced.
No: if no direct contact is recorded by the end of the day on March 8, 2026, and the parties limit themselves to mutual statements in the media.
Event resultsView all
5kkkkkkusdt
boughtNoon a 11 BPCX
SomberFlasher
boughtNoon a 4 BPCX
LargoDewey
boughtNoon a 1 BPCX