Completed
The winning outcome:
NO
Will Alibaba's stock return to the $160 level by mid-March?
Volume~$42
YES chance
DescriptionAs of the end of February, Alibaba shares are trading around $146. The current decline in share prices is due to geopolitical risks and investor concerns about new restrictions from the U.S. Nevertheless, the company remains fundamentally strong: its cloud technology and AI division (Qwen) is demonstrating rapid growth, and share buybacks are supporting its market capitalization. March 2026 marks the end of the company’s fiscal year, which is traditionally accompanied by expectations for annual earnings (EPS is forecast at $7.78). If market concerns over sanctions subside, the stock could quickly rebound toward the psychological $160 mark, which serves as an important resistance level.
Conditions"Yes: if, between March 10 and March 20, 2026, the price of Alibaba (BABA) stock reaches at least $160 at least once
No: if, between March 10 and March 20, 2026, the price of Alibaba (BABA) stock is strictly < $160"
Timeline
OpenedFeb 27, 2026, 12:05 PM
Closes
Mar 5, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsMar 21, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedFeb 27, 2026, 12:05 PM
Closes
Mar 5, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsMar 21, 2026, 8:59 PM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
#
User
Vol.
1
MMTrader
MMTrader14 BPCX
2
ShrillManipur
ShrillManipur7 BPCX
Voted for NO
#
User
Vol.
1
buba
buba21 BPCX
Event resultsView all
buba
boughtNoon a 21 BPCX
Completed
The winning outcome:
NO
Will Alibaba's stock return to the $160 level by mid-March?
Volume~$42
DescriptionAs of the end of February, Alibaba shares are trading around $146. The current decline in share prices is due to geopolitical risks and investor concerns about new restrictions from the U.S. Nevertheless, the company remains fundamentally strong: its cloud technology and AI division (Qwen) is demonstrating rapid growth, and share buybacks are supporting its market capitalization. March 2026 marks the end of the company’s fiscal year, which is traditionally accompanied by expectations for annual earnings (EPS is forecast at $7.78). If market concerns over sanctions subside, the stock could quickly rebound toward the psychological $160 mark, which serves as an important resistance level.
Event resultsView all
buba
boughtNoon a 21 BPCX