Completed

The winning outcome:

YES

Will cake prices go up in Russia by March 8?

Volume~$391

Economics

YES chance

Description"During the holiday season (March 6–8), sales of sweets and cakes increase severalfold, allowing retailers and bakeries to reduce the number of promotions and raise prices on popular items. Over the past two years, cake prices in stores have already risen by 15–25%. In early 2026, manufacturers continue to see rising ingredient prices: confectionery fats have gone up by 20%, while chocolate and cocoa products remain highly volatile."

Conditions"Yes: if on March 8, 2026, the price of cakes in Russia is ≥ ₽ 1,000 per 1 kg No: if on March 8, 2026, the price of cakes in Russia is < ₽ 1,000 per 1 kg"

Verification source

Timeline

OpenedFeb 9, 2026, 10:08 AM

Closes

Mar 1, 2026, 2:59 AM

Checking results

—

EndsMar 10, 2026, 2:59 AM

OpenedFeb 9, 2026, 10:08 AM

Closes

Mar 1, 2026, 2:59 AM

Checking results

—

EndsMar 10, 2026, 2:59 AM

ActivityView all

Top poll holdersView all

Voted for YES

InsaneHammock

30 BPCX

joS_edge

30 BPCX

MMTrader

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heySI1

26 BPCX

wEEd

23 BPCX

Voted for NO

5kkkkkkusdt

184 BPCX

SUPER-CHELOVEK

10 BPCX

ConicMalraux

6 BPCX

BlitheWits

1 BPCX

Completed

The winning outcome:

YES