Active
Will the Moscow Exchange Index fall below 2,350 points by July 10?
Volume~$36
YES chance
100 BPCX
100 BPCX
DescriptionDuring a press conference, Elvira Nabiullina, head of the Bank of Russia, made it clear that the regulator has no plans to buy up shares to artificially prop up the stock market. Against this backdrop, the country’s main index (IMOEX) hit a one-and-a-half-year low. Although the Central Bank cut its key rate to 14.25%, analysts at BCS note that this positive move is completely offset by risks related to inflation, taxes, and sanctions. The lack of intervention by the Central Bank could intensify panic among retail traders. The focus is on whether the Moscow Exchange Index will be able to break through a strong support level in the first ten days of July.
ConditionsYes: if, during the period from July 1 to July 10, 2026, the value of the Moscow Exchange Index (IMOEX) at the close of regular trading is ≤ 2,350.00 points at least once.
No: if, during the period from July 1 to July 10, 2026, the Moscow Exchange Index (IMOEX) closes at a value strictly greater than 2,350.00 points on all days.
Timeline
OpenedJun 20, 2026, 6:51 PM
Closes
Jun 30, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsJul 11, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedJun 20, 2026, 6:51 PM
Closes
Jun 30, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsJul 11, 2026, 8:59 PM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
#
User
Vol.
1
BlitheWits
BlitheWits8 BPCX
2
ConicMalraux
ConicMalraux5 BPCX
Voted for NO
#
User
Vol.
1
MMTrader
MMTrader17 BPCX
2
ton_explore
ton_explore6 BPCX
Active
Will the Moscow Exchange Index fall below 2,350 points by July 10?
Volume~$36
DescriptionDuring a press conference, Elvira Nabiullina, head of the Bank of Russia, made it clear that the regulator has no plans to buy up shares to artificially prop up the stock market. Against this backdrop, the country’s main index (IMOEX) hit a one-and-a-half-year low. Although the Central Bank cut its key rate to 14.25%, analysts at BCS note that this positive move is completely offset by risks related to inflation, taxes, and sanctions. The lack of intervention by the Central Bank could intensify panic among retail traders. The focus is on whether the Moscow Exchange Index will be able to break through a strong support level in the first ten days of July.
ConditionsYes: if, during the period from July 1 to July 10, 2026, the value of the Moscow Exchange Index (IMOEX) at the close of regular trading is ≤ 2,350.00 points at least once.
No: if, during the period from July 1 to July 10, 2026, the Moscow Exchange Index (IMOEX) closes at a value strictly greater than 2,350.00 points on all days.