Active
Will the Estonian Parliament approve a ban on Russian citizens purchasing real estate in September?
Volume~$85
YES chance
100 BPCX
100 BPCX
DescriptionThe Estonian government has approved a strict bill that completely prohibits Russian and Belarusian citizens without a residence permit from purchasing residential and commercial properties in the country. The restrictions are scheduled to take effect on January 1, 2027. However, for the Cabinet’s initiative to become law, the bill must undergo hearings in the Estonian Parliament (Riigikogu). Lawmakers will be on summer recess, and they will not begin substantive work on the bill until the fall session begins in September. The question is whether the Riigikogu will be able to pick up the pace and officially approve this bill in its first reading during September.
ConditionsYes: if, between September 1 and 30, 2026, the Estonian Parliament (Riigikogu) formally approves the bill submitted by the government in its first reading during a plenary session.
No: if, between September 1 and 30, 2026, the Riigikogu does not pass this bill on its first reading (the review is delayed in committee, postponed until October, or rejected by members of Parliament).
Timeline
OpenedJul 2, 2026, 4:11 PM
Closes
Aug 1, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsOct 1, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedJul 2, 2026, 4:11 PM
Closes
Aug 1, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsOct 1, 2026, 8:59 PM
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Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
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wEEd
wEEd29 BPCX
2
joS_edge
joS_edge23 BPCX
Voted for NO
#
User
Vol.
1
ConicMalraux
ConicMalraux22 BPCX
2
heySI1
heySI111 BPCX
Active
Will the Estonian Parliament approve a ban on Russian citizens purchasing real estate in September?
Volume~$85
DescriptionThe Estonian government has approved a strict bill that completely prohibits Russian and Belarusian citizens without a residence permit from purchasing residential and commercial properties in the country. The restrictions are scheduled to take effect on January 1, 2027. However, for the Cabinet’s initiative to become law, the bill must undergo hearings in the Estonian Parliament (Riigikogu). Lawmakers will be on summer recess, and they will not begin substantive work on the bill until the fall session begins in September. The question is whether the Riigikogu will be able to pick up the pace and officially approve this bill in its first reading during September.
ConditionsYes: if, between September 1 and 30, 2026, the Estonian Parliament (Riigikogu) formally approves the bill submitted by the government in its first reading during a plenary session.
No: if, between September 1 and 30, 2026, the Riigikogu does not pass this bill on its first reading (the review is delayed in committee, postponed until October, or rejected by members of Parliament).