Completed
The winning outcome:
NO
Will Trump announce the end of active hostilities in Iran by the end of the week?
Volume~$35
YES chance
DescriptionU.S. President Donald Trump authorized Operation "Lion's Roar" following strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities. In his latest statements on March 2, he emphasized that the campaign is “ahead of schedule,” but noted that the strikes will continue until all objectives are achieved, including the complete elimination of threats. Trump had previously predicted that the active phase could last up to four weeks. Given the current rhetoric about “preparing new powerful strikes,” an immediate winding down of the operation by the end of this week seems unlikely.
Conditions"Yes: if, by 11:59 p.m. on March 8, 2026, Donald Trump officially announces the end of the active phase of the strikes or the conclusion of the military operation in Iran.
No: if, by 11:59 p.m. on March 8, 2026, hostilities continue or no official announcement of their conclusion is made."
Timeline
OpenedMar 2, 2026, 11:07 PM
Closes
Mar 5, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsMar 9, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedMar 2, 2026, 11:07 PM
Closes
Mar 5, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsMar 9, 2026, 8:59 PM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
#
User
Vol.
1
5kkkkkkusdt
5kkkkkkusdt12 BPCX
2
LeeryFaust
LeeryFaust9 BPCX
Voted for NO
#
User
Vol.
1
ConicMalraux
ConicMalraux12 BPCX
2
FanSaw
FanSaw1 BPCX
3
LargoDewey
LargoDewey1 BPCX
Event resultsView all
ConicMalraux
boughtNoon a 12 BPCX
FanSaw
boughtNoon a 1 BPCX
LargoDewey
boughtNoon a 1 BPCX
Completed
The winning outcome:
NO
Will Trump announce the end of active hostilities in Iran by the end of the week?
Volume~$35
DescriptionU.S. President Donald Trump authorized Operation "Lion's Roar" following strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities. In his latest statements on March 2, he emphasized that the campaign is “ahead of schedule,” but noted that the strikes will continue until all objectives are achieved, including the complete elimination of threats. Trump had previously predicted that the active phase could last up to four weeks. Given the current rhetoric about “preparing new powerful strikes,” an immediate winding down of the operation by the end of this week seems unlikely.
Conditions"Yes: if, by 11:59 p.m. on March 8, 2026, Donald Trump officially announces the end of the active phase of the strikes or the conclusion of the military operation in Iran.
No: if, by 11:59 p.m. on March 8, 2026, hostilities continue or no official announcement of their conclusion is made."
Event resultsView all
ConicMalraux
boughtNoon a 12 BPCX
FanSaw
boughtNoon a 1 BPCX
LargoDewey
boughtNoon a 1 BPCX