Active
Will a bill to lower the age of criminal responsibility be introduced in the State Duma by the end of 2026?
Volume~$51
YES chance
100 BPCX
100 BPCX
DescriptionAlthough the proposal by Alexander Bastrykin, chairman of the Investigative Committee, to lower the age of criminal responsibility to 12 did not receive immediate support at the St. Petersburg International Legal Forum, such statements traditionally spark lengthy public and expert debates. The problem of the younger age of offenders and the recruitment of teenagers via the internet remains acute. This bet asks you to predict whether any of the entities with the right to initiate legislation will decide to officially submit a corresponding bill or amendments to the Criminal Code of the Russian Federation to the State Duma for consideration by the end of this year.
ConditionsYes: if, between July 16 and December 31, 2026, a bill proposing to lower the age of criminal responsibility in the Russian Federation (to 12–13 years for any provision of the Criminal Code) is officially submitted to the Legislative Activity Support System (SOZD).No: if, between July 16 and December 31, 2026, no such bills are officially submitted to the SOZD database.
Timeline
OpenedJun 26, 2026, 11:06 AM
Closes
Jul 15, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsJan 10, 2027, 8:59 PM
OpenedJun 26, 2026, 11:06 AM
Closes
Jul 15, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsJan 10, 2027, 8:59 PM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
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MotileGiro
MotileGiro26 BPCX
Voted for NO
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1
NastyAeolis
NastyAeolis22 BPCX
2
ConicMalraux
ConicMalraux3 BPCX
Active
Will a bill to lower the age of criminal responsibility be introduced in the State Duma by the end of 2026?
Volume~$51
DescriptionAlthough the proposal by Alexander Bastrykin, chairman of the Investigative Committee, to lower the age of criminal responsibility to 12 did not receive immediate support at the St. Petersburg International Legal Forum, such statements traditionally spark lengthy public and expert debates. The problem of the younger age of offenders and the recruitment of teenagers via the internet remains acute. This bet asks you to predict whether any of the entities with the right to initiate legislation will decide to officially submit a corresponding bill or amendments to the Criminal Code of the Russian Federation to the State Duma for consideration by the end of this year.
ConditionsYes: if, between July 16 and December 31, 2026, a bill proposing to lower the age of criminal responsibility in the Russian Federation (to 12–13 years for any provision of the Criminal Code) is officially submitted to the Legislative Activity Support System (SOZD).No: if, between July 16 and December 31, 2026, no such bills are officially submitted to the SOZD database.