Active
Will a successful molecular device that controls RNA replication be validated by the end of 2026?
Volume~$199
YES chance
100 BPCX
100 BPCX
DescriptionScientists are actively developing artificial molecular systems capable of self-replication and controlling RNA synthesis. Such experiments aim to create the simplest “living” systems that demonstrate the key characteristics of life—the storage, copying, and transmission of information. If a device capable of controlled RNA replication without the involvement of natural cellular mechanisms is created, it will mark a fundamental step forward in the study of the origin of life and synthetic biology.
ConditionsThe status will be set to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2026, confirmation of the operation of an artificial molecular device capable of controlled RNA replication is officially published.
The result will be "No" if no such confirmation is published.
Verification:
Publications in Nature, Science, or Cell; press releases from research institutions such as the Max Planck Institute, MIT, or Caltech.
Timeline
OpenedOct 31, 2025, 6:25 PM
Closes
Dec 30, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsDec 30, 2026, 9:00 PM
OpenedOct 31, 2025, 6:25 PM
Closes
Dec 30, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsDec 30, 2026, 9:00 PM
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joS_edge
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Voted for NO
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ShrillManipur
ShrillManipur26 BPCX
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InsaneHammock
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Active
Will a successful molecular device that controls RNA replication be validated by the end of 2026?
Volume~$199
DescriptionScientists are actively developing artificial molecular systems capable of self-replication and controlling RNA synthesis. Such experiments aim to create the simplest “living” systems that demonstrate the key characteristics of life—the storage, copying, and transmission of information. If a device capable of controlled RNA replication without the involvement of natural cellular mechanisms is created, it will mark a fundamental step forward in the study of the origin of life and synthetic biology.
ConditionsThe status will be set to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2026, confirmation of the operation of an artificial molecular device capable of controlled RNA replication is officially published.
The result will be "No" if no such confirmation is published.
Verification:
Publications in Nature, Science, or Cell; press releases from research institutions such as the Max Planck Institute, MIT, or Caltech.