Completed
The winning outcome:
NO
Will Ukraine try to intervene in the negotiations between the U.S. and Iran?
Volume~$42
YES chance
DescriptionAgainst the backdrop of Donald Trump’s statements about his willingness to strike a deal with Tehran, officials in Kyiv may attempt to incorporate their interests into this negotiation process. Ukraine’s main argument is Iran’s military cooperation with Russia (supplies of drones and missiles). According to analysts at RBC and international news agencies, diplomatic initiatives are expected in March 2026 from President Zelenskyy’s office, demanding that any agreement between Washington and Tehran include a provision to halt military aid from Russia. The question is whether the Ukrainian Foreign Ministry or the president himself will make an official public offer to mediate or participate in these negotiations.
ConditionsYes: if, by March 25, 2026, Ukrainian officials (the President, the Minister of Foreign Affairs, or the Office of the President) publicly call for Ukraine to be included in the negotiating group or put forward official demands regarding the format of the U.S.-Iran agreement.
No: if, by March 25, 2026, Ukraine does not submit any official initiatives regarding direct participation in these negotiations.
Timeline
OpenedMar 1, 2026, 5:02 PM
Closes
Mar 4, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsMar 26, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedMar 1, 2026, 5:02 PM
Closes
Mar 4, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsMar 26, 2026, 8:59 PM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
#
User
Vol.
1
5kkkkkkusdt
5kkkkkkusdt15 BPCX
Voted for NO
#
User
Vol.
1
FirmGang
FirmGang26 BPCX
2
TimedStray
TimedStray1 BPCX
Event resultsView all
FirmGang
boughtNoon a 26 BPCX
TimedStray
boughtNoon a 1 BPCX
Completed
The winning outcome:
NO
Will Ukraine try to intervene in the negotiations between the U.S. and Iran?
Volume~$42
DescriptionAgainst the backdrop of Donald Trump’s statements about his willingness to strike a deal with Tehran, officials in Kyiv may attempt to incorporate their interests into this negotiation process. Ukraine’s main argument is Iran’s military cooperation with Russia (supplies of drones and missiles). According to analysts at RBC and international news agencies, diplomatic initiatives are expected in March 2026 from President Zelenskyy’s office, demanding that any agreement between Washington and Tehran include a provision to halt military aid from Russia. The question is whether the Ukrainian Foreign Ministry or the president himself will make an official public offer to mediate or participate in these negotiations.
ConditionsYes: if, by March 25, 2026, Ukrainian officials (the President, the Minister of Foreign Affairs, or the Office of the President) publicly call for Ukraine to be included in the negotiating group or put forward official demands regarding the format of the U.S.-Iran agreement.
No: if, by March 25, 2026, Ukraine does not submit any official initiatives regarding direct participation in these negotiations.
Event resultsView all
FirmGang
boughtNoon a 26 BPCX
TimedStray
boughtNoon a 1 BPCX