Completed
The winning outcome:
NO
A Drop in Rosneft's Stock Price?
Volume~$94
YES chance
DescriptionAs of the end of February, Rosneft shares are trading around ₽392. The stock is under pressure due to expectations of an increased tax burden on the oil sector and a decline in export volumes as part of the OPEC+ agreement. An additional negative factor is the high key interest rate, which increases the cost of debt servicing for large-scale projects such as Vostok Oil. If, in March 2026, the market receives confirmation of a decline in net profit for the previous quarter, the stock price could continue to fall toward the ₽370 level. A decline of ~5.5% from current levels appears to be a realistic scenario as large funds step up profit-taking.
Conditions"Yes: if, between March 10 and 20, 2026, the price of Rosneft (ROSN) stock is ≤ ₽370 at least once
No: if, between March 10 and 20, 2026, the price of Rosneft (ROSN) stock is > ₽370"
Timeline
OpenedFeb 27, 2026, 12:08 PM
Closes
Mar 5, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsMar 21, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedFeb 27, 2026, 12:08 PM
Closes
Mar 5, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsMar 21, 2026, 8:59 PM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
#
User
Vol.
1
ShrillManipur
ShrillManipur25 BPCX
2
BlitheWits
BlitheWits21 BPCX
Voted for NO
#
User
Vol.
1
buba
buba26 BPCX
2
MotileGiro
MotileGiro20 BPCX
3
FanSaw
FanSaw1 BPCX
4
LargoDewey
LargoDewey1 BPCX
Event resultsView all
buba
boughtNoon a 26 BPCX
MotileGiro
boughtNoon a 20 BPCX
FanSaw
boughtNoon a 1 BPCX
LargoDewey
boughtNoon a 1 BPCX
Completed
The winning outcome:
NO
A Drop in Rosneft's Stock Price?
Volume~$94
DescriptionAs of the end of February, Rosneft shares are trading around ₽392. The stock is under pressure due to expectations of an increased tax burden on the oil sector and a decline in export volumes as part of the OPEC+ agreement. An additional negative factor is the high key interest rate, which increases the cost of debt servicing for large-scale projects such as Vostok Oil. If, in March 2026, the market receives confirmation of a decline in net profit for the previous quarter, the stock price could continue to fall toward the ₽370 level. A decline of ~5.5% from current levels appears to be a realistic scenario as large funds step up profit-taking.
Event resultsView all
buba
boughtNoon a 26 BPCX
MotileGiro
boughtNoon a 20 BPCX
FanSaw
boughtNoon a 1 BPCX
LargoDewey
boughtNoon a 1 BPCX