Completed
The winning outcome:
NO
Will temperatures in Sinyavino rise to +5°C by March 15?
Volume~$96
YES chance
DescriptionBy mid-March, Atlantic air masses will begin to move into the Leningrad Region. On March 15, 2026, westerly winds are forecast to strengthen in Sinyavino, bringing with them the first significant thaw. The climatic norm for this period is a temperature of around +1...+2°C, so a rise to +5°C will mark an important psychological threshold and the start of active snowmelt. The key question is whether the daytime high on that day will exceed this mark.
ConditionsYes: if the maximum daytime temperature in Sinyavino on March 15, 2026, is ≥ +5°C.
No: if the maximum daytime temperature in Sinyavino on March 15, 2026, is < +5°C.
Timeline
OpenedFeb 28, 2026, 3:11 PM
Closes
Mar 5, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsMar 16, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedFeb 28, 2026, 3:11 PM
Closes
Mar 5, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsMar 16, 2026, 8:59 PM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
#
User
Vol.
1
MotileGiro
MotileGiro26 BPCX
2
InsaneHammock
InsaneHammock13 BPCX
3
ShrillManipur
ShrillManipur9 BPCX
Voted for NO
#
User
Vol.
1
5kkkkkkusdt
5kkkkkkusdt37 BPCX
2
wEEd
wEEd11 BPCX
Event resultsView all
5kkkkkkusdt
boughtNoon a 37 BPCX
wEEd
boughtNoon a 11 BPCX
Completed
The winning outcome:
NO
Will temperatures in Sinyavino rise to +5°C by March 15?
Volume~$96
DescriptionBy mid-March, Atlantic air masses will begin to move into the Leningrad Region. On March 15, 2026, westerly winds are forecast to strengthen in Sinyavino, bringing with them the first significant thaw. The climatic norm for this period is a temperature of around +1...+2°C, so a rise to +5°C will mark an important psychological threshold and the start of active snowmelt. The key question is whether the daytime high on that day will exceed this mark.
Event resultsView all
5kkkkkkusdt
boughtNoon a 37 BPCX
wEEd
boughtNoon a 11 BPCX