Completed
The winning outcome:
YES
Will there be acid rain in Iran by March 25?
Volume~$2
YES chance
DescriptionFollowing the strikes on Iran’s oil storage facilities, massive amounts of sulfur and nitrogen oxides were released into the atmosphere. Representatives of the Iranian Red Crescent warned of the risk of acid rain. According to Gismeteo weather models, moist air masses are expected to pass over the region between March 15 and 25; when these come into contact with toxic compounds in the lower layers of the atmosphere, they could cause “chemical rain.” The forecast will be verified by whether Iran’s official environmental agencies or international air monitoring stations record precipitation with an abnormally low pH level (acid rain) within the country.
Conditions"Yes: if, between March 10 and 25, 2026, Iran’s official meteorological services or Red Crescent reports confirm the occurrence of acid rain in any province of the country.
No: if, by March 25, 2026, no acid rain (with a pH below the normal level of 5.6) has been recorded in Iran, or if the meteorological services announce that the toxic cloud has dissipated without any precipitation."
Timeline
OpenedMar 8, 2026, 4:40 PM
Closes
Mar 10, 2026, 12:00 PMChecking results
—EndsMar 26, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedMar 8, 2026, 4:40 PM
Closes
Mar 10, 2026, 12:00 PMChecking results
—EndsMar 26, 2026, 8:59 PM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
#
User
Vol.
1
TimedStray
TimedStray1 BPCX
2
LargoDewey
LargoDewey1 BPCX
Voted for NO
No holders yet
Event resultsView all
TimedStray
boughtYeson a 1 BPCX
LargoDewey
boughtYeson a 1 BPCX
Completed
The winning outcome:
YES
Will there be acid rain in Iran by March 25?
Volume~$2
DescriptionFollowing the strikes on Iran’s oil storage facilities, massive amounts of sulfur and nitrogen oxides were released into the atmosphere. Representatives of the Iranian Red Crescent warned of the risk of acid rain. According to Gismeteo weather models, moist air masses are expected to pass over the region between March 15 and 25; when these come into contact with toxic compounds in the lower layers of the atmosphere, they could cause “chemical rain.” The forecast will be verified by whether Iran’s official environmental agencies or international air monitoring stations record precipitation with an abnormally low pH level (acid rain) within the country.
Conditions"Yes: if, between March 10 and 25, 2026, Iran’s official meteorological services or Red Crescent reports confirm the occurrence of acid rain in any province of the country.
No: if, by March 25, 2026, no acid rain (with a pH below the normal level of 5.6) has been recorded in Iran, or if the meteorological services announce that the toxic cloud has dissipated without any precipitation."
Event resultsView all
TimedStray
boughtYeson a 1 BPCX
LargoDewey
boughtYeson a 1 BPCX